The U.S. Energy Information Administration forecasts that utility-scale solar generation in ERCOT will reach 78 billion kilowatthours in 2026, surpassing coal's 60 billion kilowatthours for the first time. Solar's share of the generation mix in ERCOT has grown from 4% to 12% between 2021 and 2025, while coal's share has decreased from 19% to 13%. The forecast indicates that Texas will account for approximately 40% of total solar capacity additions in the U.S. in 2026.
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